Junior Hernandez is projected to end season 33 with 13 wins. This would give him a career total of 224 wins at the end of his Age 32 season. Let's compare him to the four career wins leaders to see what might be reasonable expectations for Junior Hernandez.
Wins at Wins at Age Wins Career
Name Age 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Age 33+ Wins
Christensen 179 21 18 24 20 18 18 14 -- -- 133 312
Tracy 211 12 14 10 19 16 13 6 2 -- 92 303
Dellucci 171 22 14 14 14 11 15 11 2 -- 103 274
Grim 163 15 24 16 19 14 6 9 -- -- 103 266
Compared to the careers of his peers, even the worst career trajectory has him surpassing the all-time Capra wins total. Matching Tracy's 92 wins would give Hernandez 316 wins.
Hernandez built up such a huge body of work in his twenties that it seems only an injury could curtail his march to the Career Wins title. For example, Hernandez won 16 games for Seattle in his Age 20 season and 49 games before turning 23. In comparison, Christensen didn't even make his major league debut until the age of 23.
Wins at Wins at Age Wins Career
Name Age 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Age 33+ Wins
Christensen 179 21 18 24 20 18 18 14 -- -- 133 312
Tracy 211 12 14 10 19 16 13 6 2 -- 92 303
Dellucci 171 22 14 14 14 11 15 11 2 -- 103 274
Grim 163 15 24 16 19 14 6 9 -- -- 103 266
Hernandez 224 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- ??? ???
Hernandez built up such a huge body of work in his twenties that it seems only an injury could curtail his march to the Career Wins title. For example, Hernandez won 16 games for Seattle in his Age 20 season and 49 games before turning 23. In comparison, Christensen didn't even make his major league debut until the age of 23.
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