Skip to main content

No 300 For Junior?

By
Junior Hernandez is projected to end season 33 with 13 wins.  This would give him a career total of 224 wins at the end of his Age 32 season.  Let's compare him to the four career wins leaders to see what might be reasonable expectations for Junior Hernandez.

              Wins at  Wins at Age                         Wins     Career          
Name         Age 32   33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  Age 33+  Wins   
Christensen  179      21  18  24  20  18  18  14  --  --  133      312    
Tracy        211      12  14  10  19  16  13   6   2  --   92      303    
Dellucci     171      22  14  14  14  11  15  11   2  --  103      274    
Grim         163      15  24  16  19  14   6   9  --  --  103      266    
Hernandez    224      --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  ???      ???    

Compared to the careers of his peers, even the worst career trajectory has him surpassing the all-time Capra wins total.   Matching Tracy's 92 wins would give Hernandez 316 wins.

Hernandez built up such a huge body of work in his twenties that it seems only an injury could curtail his march to the Career Wins title.  For example, Hernandez won 16 games for Seattle in his Age 20 season and 49 games before turning 23.  In comparison, Christensen didn't even make his major league debut until the age of 23.


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Anaheim Anteaters Future Shock: Top 10 Prospects

By
1/ SP Hugh Palmer . Age 24. AAA. ETA: S10 Selected 13th in the 1st round of the S6 draft, Palmer dominated the lower minors and has averaged a 16-4/3.35 record in 3 minor league seasons. Palmer's big calling card has been the punchout as he's K'd 502 batters in 51o frames. His heater is in the mid-90s and still developing. Palmer comes with 2 good pitchers, the fastball and slider, but could use a better forkball and curveball to sharpen his repertoire. Palmer's about a season away from the bigs and projects to a solid #2 or #3 starter. 2/ SP Vasco Almonte . Age 22. AAA. ETA: S10 A former 1st round draft pick by Atlanta/Chicago, Almonte was traded to Anaheim for fellow prospect Tony Mendoza . Almonte has been consistent in the minors, if unspectacular, with a 4.15 era and 1.32 whip. However, Almonte is just 22 and has progressed quickly through the minors with a AAA season already in the books. If he continues to develop his fastball and change-up he can become a stalwa
Post a Comment
Read more

HBD Ballpark Factors

By
Ballpark effects are ranked on a scale from - 4 to + 4, based on their impact on hits (1B), doubles (2B), triples (3B), home runs to left field (HR LF) and home runs to right field (HR RF). The more negative or positive number, the more extreme the effect for that hit in that direction. These numbers are just indicators of the relative effect in the simulation engine. They are important for users and founded entirely on historical fact, but are meant for display purposes and not explicitly used in the simulation engine. City/State Ballpark Capacity 1B 2B 3B LF RF PF Division  Albuquerque (New Mexico) Isotopes Park 11,124 4 4 4 1 0 1.211 West  Anaheim (California) Angel Stadium 45,050 0 -2 -2 0 0 0.951 West  Atlanta (Georgia) Turner Field 50,062 -1 -1 0 1 1 0.950 South, East  Arizona (Arizo
Post a Comment
Read more

On Homers and Steroids, Part 3

By
Most Career Homers. Only Season 11 and on qualify...
Post a Comment
Read more