Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts from November, 2014

No 300 For Junior?

Junior Hernandez is projected to end season 33 with 13 wins.  This would give him a career total of 224 wins at the end of his Age 32 season.  Let's compare him to the four career wins leaders to see what might be reasonable expectations for Junior Hernandez.

            Wins at  Wins at Age                         Wins     Career
Name         Age 32   33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  Age 33+  Wins   
Christensen  179      21  18  24  20  18  18  14  --  --  133      312   
Tracy        211      12  14  10  19  16  13   6   2  --   92      303  
Dellucci     171      22  14  14  14  11  15  11   2  --  103      274   
Grim         163      15  24  16  19  14   6   9  --  --  103      266    
Hernandez    224     --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --  ???      ???    
Compared to the careers of his peers, even the worst career trajectory has him surpassing the all-time Capra wins total.   Matching Tracy's 92 wins would give Hernandez 316 wins.

Hernandez built up such a huge body of w…