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Showing posts from November, 2014

No 300 For Junior?

Junior Hernandez is projected to end season 33 with 13 wins.  This would give him a career total of 224 wins at the end of his Age 32 season.  Let's compare him to the four career wins leaders to see what might be reasonable expectations for Junior Hernandez.               Wins at  Wins at Age                         Wins      Career             Name         Age 32   33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  Age 33+   Wins    Christensen  179       21  18  24  20  18  18  14  --  --  133       3 12      Tracy        211       12  14  10  19  16  13   6   2  --   92       303     Dellucci     171       22  14  14  14  11  15  11   2  --  103       274      Grim          163       15  24  16  19  14   6   9  --  --  103       266     Hernandez    224        --  --   --  --   --  --   --  --   --   ???       ???     Compared to the careers of his peers, even the worst career trajectory has him surpassing the all-time Capra wins total.   Matching Tracy's 92 wins would give