18 May 2012

Season 24 HOF Analysis

 
Here’s my take on this season’s HOF nominees. The problem as always is that there are so many decent candidates, the vote gets split among them. I’ll be voting for the top 5, but if I had 10 votes I’d use them all. 

No Doubt

Hong-Gu Hyun – One of the great players of all-time, won 2 MVPs, went to 9 All Star games and won 9 Silver Sluggers!  Hit almost 400 HRs, stole 250 bases, and had a blistering 1.000 OPS. Did I mention he did it all at CF?

Hal Randall – .336/.419/.563 (.982 OPS)  Pretty much says it all. Over 600 2Bs, 375 HRs and 375 SBs. 2800 hits, 1100+ BBs. And played a solid 2B.  11 All Star games and 8 Silver Sluggers. This guy is the definition of HOF. I’m amazed he doesn’t seem to appear on more people’s lists.

Diego Santana – Out of 46 MVPs, how many are catchers? Only 1 – Diego Santana.  Add another 8 All Star games for our greatest catcher yet. He slugged 475 HRs, including hitting 60 in a season twice, and had a .950 OPS. The definition of a HOFer.

Pablo Vincente – Finally a 1B who stands out of the crowd! He hit .305/.393/.603 (.996) with 667 HR.  5th all-time with 1927 RBI.  Won an MVP, went to 6 all-star games, and won 2 silver sluggers.  Combines the great peak with excellent longevity, and gets my nod.

Rudy Lombardi – One of the all-time mashers who deserves a serious HOF look. .293/.365/.575 makes a .940 OPS.  He hit 725 HRs, 2000 RBIs (exactly) and over 1500 R. Played a little OF, but mostly 1B.  3 ASG, 2 SS, 2 GG at 1B and an MVP. His numbers say HOF lock, but only 3 ASG make you look a little deeper.  Certainly in the top group.

Good chance

Jorel McGlinchy – A tough call, not an amazing offensive player, though respectable with over 500 2Bs, 200 SBs and an .812 career OPS.  But an absolutely incredible defensive force, winning 10 GGs at CF and going to 8 All Star games.   Racked up 424 (+) plays – the second most is 146.  If you value defense, this guys is a HOFer.

Al Maurer – Career RF who slugged 485 HR while putting up .324/.407/.574 (.981 OPS). Amazingly consistent, he went to 10 All Star Games, won 3 SS and 2 GG.

Stan Lee – Yet another player whose numbers would be good enough in another system, but will never see the HOF in HBD. 462 HR with over 1600 R & RBI, plus 380 SB. A .953 career OPS. 4 AS teams, 5 Silver Sluggers and 2 MVPs! But I doubt he’ll get enough support.

Alexander Henry – 500 HR, 1500 RBI, .971 career OPS. 4 All Star games and an MVP. Another 1B with HOF numbers, but how many can you take. Tough choices here.

Clinton Anderson – This RF hit an enormous 667 HR, drove in over 1800, and scored over 1600. His .921 OPS is very good but does not elevate him from this group. He won an MVP, but only went to 2 All Star games.

Evan Moore – Gets the accumulater vote, but was never as good as the rest of the guys in this category.  A solid .869 OPS with over 500 2Bs is very nice, but the only reason he’s this high is because of the 3000 H. Only one All Star game. I personally wouldn’t put him in until a lot of these other guys get in.  Played 1B for his whole career despite being listed as a 2B on his HOF card.

Denny Cooper – Second all-time in SBs with 721, this speedster also got on base and hit for power, giving him an .897 career OPS.  4 All Star games and 4 Silver Sluggers. He also played an excellent 2B.  Another high-level candidate.

David Wanatabe – The all-time Saves leader by a mile, with 623. Went to 10 All Star games and won 5 Fireman awards.  But he only pitched 50 IP more than Nerio, with a 3.67 ERA.  Hard to say who was better.  Some will vote for him.  I probably won’t.

Ron Quantrill – I still haven’t figured out how to rate pitcher’s careers. 176 W and a 3.87 ERA aren’t mind blowing, but there are so few pitchers with those numbers that I think it’s much harder than it seems. 6 All Stars and over 2800 IP.

Borderline

Roosevelt Davenport – A victim of too many good players – he’s next in line to a lot of guys.  Should get lots of respect for 586 HRs and a .920 OPS, but only went to 3 All Star games.  He played a below average 2B for most of his career, then played an above average LF.

Darin McClellan – A Davenport clone, he hit 589 HRs and had a .921 OPS.  Despite that he only went to 1 All Star game.  Played 1B, LF and DH.  Doesn’t really stand out.

Claude Long – More excellent numbers that don’t quite make it.  562 HR with a .922 OPS. Played most of his career at LF. 5 ASGs and 6 Silver Sluggers.

Jim Heathcott – Played 2B/3B, and batted .300.  Comes in with a mediocre .813 OPS.  His claim to HOF is his 3153 H, and would probably deserve some consideration if we had 10 votes each.  But despite his high level consistency I just don’t think he was as good as the players above him.  I know some will disagree, but how many HOFers only play in 1 all-star game?

Ringo Weston – Played CF, SS and 3B, got over 2300 H and 1300 R, with an OPS of .845. Excellent all-around player, 
maybe not quite HOF quality.

Al Cedeno – A very similar player to Weston, played SS, 3B and RF, almost 2300 H and 1200 R, .840 OPS. Just one AS game, and a GG in RF, and he’s clearly not quite a HOFer.

Anthony Gipson – This excellent 3B went to 6 All Star games, won a Gold Glove and 4 Silver Sluggers. His 399 HR and .899 OPS ironically echo his HOF status: Not Quite.

Geronimo Ordaz – Almost made it to 3000 H as a SS and compiled an .850 OPS. He compares in some ways to Desi Rodriguez, but never won a gold glove and only went to 3 All-Star games. One step below.

Alberto Sosa – Hard to argue against players with 550 HR, but this RF is going to come up a hair short with his .890 OPS, and the fact he only played in 2 All Star games.

Julio Iglesias – Played 3B and SS, went to 6 All Star games and won 3 SS and a GG. 300 HR and almost 300 SB, with a .903 OPS. I think he’s just below the HOF.

Short Career

Dean Brennaman – Won an MVP, went to 3 all-star games, and put up an amazing 1.045 OPS.  But he only played 5 full seasons.  Was old when the league started.

T.J. Smart – Another early C with huge seasons, but a too short career. Has a massive .998 OPS, but fewer than 1000 H and only 175 HR.

No Shot

Albert Tatis – A brilliant defender, Tatis won 5 GG as a SS and went to 4 ASG. But despite hitting a respectable .294, his OPS was just .723, and that’s just not enough for a HOF vote.

Carlos Pulido – Gets a HOF nomination for his 527 HRs, but a 1B with a .913 OPS and only 1 ASG doesn’t get a sniff in this HOF.

Adam Williams – A C/DH who hit a nice .307/.413/.507 (.920 OPS), but only 261 HR and less than 1000 R/RBI. 3 ASG and a SS. Not enough.

Zachrey Cohen Does not belong on this list.

07 May 2012

All Time Showdown: AL vs NL

In a showdown of all times greats, who is better, the AL or the NL?

From the archives, I've poured over the career records for each player. I've separated each player's efforts by league and position. The goal here is to determine who would start for each side in the greatest game ever, and then, who would win.

The stats for each player are only those stats accumulated at the position and in the league represented. A minimum of 1000 games started in required for consideration for position players.

It looks like the AL would take the NL behind the toolshed for a beating, but maybe things would be different if Brett Tracy were on the mound?

Diego Santana
GS1117
AVG.309
HR388
RBI1028
C
GS1520
AVG.315
HR276
RBI1097
Sammy King
The best catcher in Capra history is a MVP winner and borderline Hall of Famer. Even with only 8 of his 12 seasons in the AL, he dominates the field. Edge: AL An underrated and often overlooked player with six all-star appearances, three gold gloves and two silver sluggers.
Pablo Vincente
GS2278
AVG.305
HR666
RBI1915
1B
GS1822
AVG.303
HR450
RBI1423
Ismael Maduro
A close contest when compared to Darren Owens, but with similar stats he gets the edge for playing a less offensive era. 2 rings and an MVP included. Edge: AL There is a holy triumvirate of early first baseman, Henry, Prieto and Menechino, but Maduro didn't have the advantage of throwing up 60+ homer seasons in the first few homer-happy years of the league.
Roosevelt Davenport
GS1238
AVG.291
HR438
RBI1122
2B
GS1289
AVG.286
HR247
RBI893
Rudy Hayes
6 All-Star appearances spread across 13 years showed both peak and longevity. Better numbers than Hal Randall despite Randall playing his career in hitter friendly Albuquerque. Edge: AL 1289 of his lifetime 1986 starts have come as an NL second baseman, and in those limited starts he is the statistical equivalent of Kelvim Woodard, Harry Pascual and Brett Simms. Only old-timer Otis Watkins has better numbers, albeit in 700 extra starts.
Michael Dransfeldt
GS1456
AVG.288
HR425
RBI1159
3B
GS1035
AVG.265
HR207
RBI655
Sparky White
Owned 3B in the AL for a decade with 8 All Star appearances, 9 Silver Sluggers and 5 Gold Gloves in 10 AL Seasons. Edge: AL Sparky White tops a very weak field consisting of Javier Alvarado, J.T. Barber and Wille Soto.
Al Ontiveros
GS1327
AVG.301
HR454
RBI1259
SS
GS1035
AVG.265
HR207
RBI655
Wesley Smith
100% Ballplayer, 0% Bullshit. (Does anyone read the Bill James Historical Abstracts?) Edge: AL The quietest superstar ever racked up 5 All Star appearances and 8 Silver Sluggers.
Bruce Kent
GS1879
AVG.286
HR537
RBI1440
LF
GS1947
AVG.295
HR518
RBI1557
Walt Cashman
Bruce Kent put up these numbers in the pitchers' park in Iowa City. In a hitters' park he'd have All-Time great numbers. Edge: NL Walt Cashman is an actual Hall of Famer. We all know how tough that is to get voted into.
Jorel McGlinchy
GS1860
AVG.288
HR290
RBI1129
CF
GS1409
AVG.318
HR356
RBI1156
Hong-Gu Hyun
McGlinchy gets the nod for his hitting alone: 33 homers and 329 RBIs better than the next competitors. The 10 Gold Gloves are just style points. Edge: NL Hong Kong Phooey won back to back MVPs, 9 Silver Sluggers and went to 9 All Star Games.
Al Maurer
GS1703
AVG.327
HR463
RBI1288
RF
GS1309
AVG.294
HR272
RBI842
Pep Rapp
Maurer rode the thin air of Monterrey to 10 All Star appearances. Edge: AL Only 1 MVP and 3 Silver Sluggers, but after factoring in park and era, only Santos Flores in 800 extra games started eclipses his numbers.