Skip to main content

Where Capra Ranks

A recent trend in the HBD forums has been to attempt to rank all 150 or so HBD Worlds using varying methods. Somebody devises a statistical methodology and then punches in data for all the worlds and posts the results, which are followed, of course, by many pages of debate on the validity of said rankings.

tecwrg recently posted his rankings which are based upon the # of -(minus) plays within each world's most recently completed season. His theory is that quality worlds care about defense and will not either play people out of position or in spots that will be detrimental to the team's ability to execute the fundamentals. Out of 142 worlds, his system ranked Capra at #18. Not bad. Another way to think about his rankings, though, is to consider the positive difference between + plays and - plays(see his chart). If his rankings were ordered that way, Capra would come in at #5 overall. Now that's more like it.

98greenc5 posted a different set of rankings this morning that is based on competitive balance and the number of teams who deviate from an average of all the worlds by considering Wins, Runs Allowed, and Unearned Runs Allowed. His formula gets more complicated from there because he weights Wins to 50% and the others to 25%. Still follow? In any case, he finds Capra at #36 out of 137 worlds, but says that his methodology might unfavorably reward newer worlds that have had less opportunity for variance. (See addendum below)

The original attempt to rank the worlds was much more unscientific and based upon participant input. We also scored well there. The user who started this thread seems to be no longer active in cataloging input.

Addendum: 98greenc5 has revised his rankings with an allowance for # of seasons completed. This pushes Capra now up to #22.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

HBD Ballpark Factors

Ballpark effects are ranked on a scale from - 4 to + 4, based on their impact on hits (1B), doubles (2B), triples (3B), home runs to left field (HR LF) and home runs to right field (HR RF). The more negative or positive number, the more extreme the effect for that hit in that direction. These numbers are just indicators of the relative effect in the simulation engine. They are important for users and founded entirely on historical fact, but are meant for display purposes and not explicitly used in the simulation engine. City/State Ballpark Capacity 1B 2B 3B LF RF PF Division  Albuquerque (New Mexico) Isotopes Park 11,124 4 4 4 1 0 1.211 West  Anaheim (California) Angel Stadium 45,050 0 -2 -2 0 0 0.951 West  Atlanta (Georgia) Turner Field 50,062 -1 -1 0 1 1 0.950 South, East ...

S19 Power Ranking (Pre-season)

1. Anaheim Anteaters (NL) After seasons of frustration, finally crowned Capra champion. 2. Cleveland Spiders (AL) With Anteaters finally winning, is Cleveland next? 3. Monterrey Campeones (AL) Seven straight division titles. 4. Seattle Picards (NL) Perfecting the art of the 3-run HR. 5. Ottawa Ice (AL) Solid team built around superstars SP Trenidad Espinosa , 1B Alex Valdes . 6. Helena Howling Sukube (AL) Coming off franchise best W-L record. 7. Vancouver Maintaineers (NL) Streaky. Dangerous. Canadian. 8. Cincinnati Roses (AL) Mid-season trades put them over the top. Can they keep it up? 9. Louisville Redbirds (NL) Full of ML-ready prospects. 10. Iowa City Tornadoes (NL) Well-rounded offense and pitching staff.

International Signing Report Card

Roughly 20% into the season, we've already seen 24 international players sign on, with 5 of them landing bonuses north of $10 million. From time to time here we'll assess the respective value of these signings by assigning letter grades that consider the following: player projections, likelihood of reaching and performing at the big league level, age, size of investment, etc. You get the idea. (Keep in mind, this is all based upon my 14M advance scouting reports. Someone with $20m sunk into advance scouting[Las Vegas Jackson, etc], or $5[Fargo], for that matter, would see the prospects as worth more or less. We're probably close to the league average here.) SP Odalis Leon , Cleveland Spiders. $22m bonus. -While we only see his overall projection as 75, Leon offers the potential for excellent control, splits, and a superlative four-seam fastball that all equal a potential #1 ace. However, there is reason for concern: his secondary pitches are mediocre and need work beyond th...