The simulation runs from where a team currently is in the standings and predicts its remaining wins based on the teams expected win %. There is a small adjustment for unpredictability. These numbers do not account for schedules. Most teams have played 95 games. The “Trend” is the difference in a team’s total playoff odds from the 1/9 PM games. This is about 27 games ago. “E” means virtual elimination, not mathematical elimination. Let me know if you have any questions or suggestions.
"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart." --A.Bartlett Giamatti on Baseball