Junior Hernandez is projected to end season 33 with 13 wins. This would give him a career total of 224 wins at the end of his Age 32 season. Let's compare him to the four career wins leaders to see what might be reasonable expectations for Junior Hernandez.
Wins at Wins at Age Wins Career Name Age 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Age 33+ Wins Christensen
179 21 18 24 20 18 18 14 -- -- 133 312 Tracy
211 12 14 10 19 16 13 6 2 -- 92 303 Dellucci
171 22 14 14 14 11 15 11 2 -- 103 274 Grim 163 15 24 16 19 14 6 9 -- -- 103 266 Hernandez 224 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- ??? ???
Compared to the careers of his peers, even the worst career trajectory has him surpassing the all-time Capra wins total. Matching Tracy's 92 wins would give Hernandez 316 wins.
Due to technical difficulties (followed by about 20 minutes or cursing at a computer screen) the audio has been lost for Episode 5 of the Capra World Buzz Podcast.
Thanks to dcbove for coming on the show. Despite what he says, he was a very good interview. Congratulations to the Cleveland Spiders for their S32 championship. World Series victories are not rare in Cleveland, this being his fourth championship as an owner.
(His girlfriend took him out to dinner to congratulate him on his championship!)
He credited his world series win to solid pitching and a great lineup, which he certainly has. But most of all he credited his win to the Capra World Buzz Podcast Curse.
"When you guys were previewing the playoffs in your last episode, you had great things to say about every team, especially Seattle. Then you got to my team and you dismissed us." -dcbove
For those of you that aren't aware, there is a friendly rivalry between Cleveland and the AL South. And we dismissed his tea…
One last comparison... the goal is to show how significant changes continued to affect batters in the seasons between 15 and 25, seasons which are very impactful on the candidacies of various HoF nominees.
In Season 25, each attribute was expected to be only a fraction of Season 15:
AB: 98.4% (due to less scoring, lineups turned over less often, resulting in less ABs)
HR: 100% (home runs don't change! 8411 vs 8402 despite 2700 fewer at bats)
Therefore, equivalent hypothetical performances would be:
s15: 600ab, 170 hits, 70 bb, 40 doubles, 5 triples, 35 hr = (.283/.358/.541)
s25: 590ab, 159 hits, 66 bb, 34 doubles, 4 triples, 35 hr = (.280/.343/.519)
Dewey Cash seems to be enjoying his new home in Jackson. Since the trade for Sammy Ontiveros, Cash has registered a 1.211 OPS in Jackson. His team has rattled off 7 wins in a row, and is quickly closing the gap on a wild card spot.
Here’s my take on this season’s HOF nominees. Some
interesting debates are sure to ensue! No Doubt Alex
Valdes – A career-long member of the Ice, I readily admit my bias
here. But Valdes is perhaps the only sure-fire HOFer on this list. He mashed
645 HR with 1600+ RBI and 1500+ R. He stands out from Kent & Pulido with
his other slash numbers, as he put up a career .294/.389/.552 line for a .941
OPS. He failed at LF but ended up playing ¾ of his games as a solid 1B. He went
to 6 ASG (and couldn’t make it in his LF years!), and won 7 SS, plus an
important MVP. Valdes is an interesting test for the HOF, as his raw numbers
don’t really compare to the early season mashers, but he stands out among his
contemporaries. Solid chance Vasco Almonte
– There have been few pitchers better than Almonte in this league, His career
210-109 record is excellent, along with a very good 3.31 ERA in over 2900
IP.He only made 4 ASG but 9 times his
era was below 3.50, so it’s hard to understand why. He’s comp…
With another season of Capra baseball upon us, let's look back on the off-season that was, and look ahead at the season to come.
*Free Agent Frenzy -Free agency always yields a high amount of activity in Capra, often to mixed results. This off-season was no different. Starting pitchers Carlos Cedeno (New Orleans) and Glenn Tomko (Jackson) were among the big winners as well as well as infielders Gus Li (Charlotte) and Mark Brooks (Chicago). Cedeno was the big prize, keeping teams waiting up until the end of the signing period before eventually inking a four year deal worth $60.3 million. Cedeno has been a solid starter throughout his career in OKC though he is coming off his worst season in which he posted a 4.93 ERA. He's an extreme fly ball pitcher, and while Zephyr Park in New Orleans isn't Coors Field, it's not exactly spacious. Gus Li got a five year deal from the Bulldogs and will be making 20 million this season. Li has…
You don't need me to realize these 3 guys are almost identical overall. Rudy has the longevity edge, Louie and Mel have more speed. What one lacks in power he makes up in OBP. For me, offensively this is more or less a wash. So we look further.
All 3 were 2B's for the vast majority of their careers. As 2B's:
Louie 80 E, 83+, 3-, .984 F%, 4.88 RF
Rudy 111 E, 16+ 46-, .983 F%, 5.06 RF
Mel 169 E, 21+ 38-, .981 F%, 5.90 RF
Louie sticks out a lot here, with his 83-3 +/-. His RF is significantly lower than Barfield, but range factor is such a weird stat, and is heavily affected by the rest of your team. +/- is an individual stat. If I had to choo…
Here’s my take on this season’s HOF nominees. Most of the
shoo-ins have been elected, and there were few nominations this year. Should
make for some good debate! No Doubt Bruce
Kent – Kent has classic HOF numbers. 670 HR (6th),
1870 RBI (top 10), 1653 R (prob top 10). He played almost exclusively LF, and
though he was a poor defender, he more than made up for it with his bat. Very
short on awards, probably due to his defense, but he did pick up 3 ASG and 3
SS, plus the all-important MVP. Not the best all-around player ever, but he’s a
no doubter for me. Solid chance Louie Hayes
– 9 ASG and 2 MVPs from this 2B/3B say he’s a good candidate without even
looking deeper. A power/speed threat with 490 HRs and 470 steals, he finished
with an .882 OPS.He compares very
closely to his namesake Rudy Hayes, but was a significantly better fielder with
more speed and more consistency. Santos Flores
– Not quite as high a peak as most HOFers, Flores gets the nod for outstanding
longevity at a very high l…